The Forecast and the Optimization Control of the Complex Traffic Flow Based on the Hybrid Immune Intelligent Algorithm

ABSTRACT

Transportation system has time-varying, coupling and nonlinear dynamic characteristics. Traffic flow forecast is one of the key technologies of traffic guidance. It is very difficult to accurately forecast them effectively. This paper has analyzed the complexity and the evaluation index of urban transportation network and has proposed the forecasting model of the hybrid algorithm based on chaos immune knowledge. First of all, the chaos knowledge is introduced into the topology structure of immune network, so as to obtain the matching predictive values and knowledge base. Secondly, this algorithm can dynamically control and adjusted the regional search speed and can fuse the information obtained by the chaos and immune algorithm, in order to realize the short-term traffic flow forecast. Finally, the simulation experiment shows that the traffic flow forecasting error obtained by the method is small, feasible and effective and can better meet the needs of the traffic guidance system.

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