The Open Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Journal

2010, 3 : 7-12
Published online 2010 November 16. DOI: 10.2174/1874152501003010007
Publisher ID: TOIMEJ-3-7

An Algorithm Predicting Upper Level Icing Potential by Fuzzy Set Theory and an Application with this Algorithm for Turkey

Emel Kizilkaya Aydogan , Gencer Cevriye and Karahan Çetin
Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Erciyes University, Kayseri, Turkey;

ABSTRACT

In this study, concerning with the icing phenomenon which is one of the most serious hazards for aviation, a system was developed providing predictions for the next 24 hours including location, level and time information. This system produces forecasts periodically and represents the results to users. The verification analysis is carried out by comparing the system output with real-time upper level atmosphere observations. After the verification analysis, it is found that the outputs which are produced by this study are practicable for operational meteorology.

Keywords:

Fuzzy set theory, fuzzy inference system, upper level icing potential, icing forecast.