The Open Atmospheric Science Journal

2009, 3 : 196-203
Published online 2009 August 10. DOI: 10.2174/1874282300903010196
Publisher ID: TOASCJ-3-196

Trends in Daily Rainfall Intensity Over Israel 1950/1-2003/4

Yizhak Yosef , Hadas Saaroni and Pinhas Alpert
Department of Geography and the Human Environment, Tel-Aviv, University, Israel.

ABSTRACT

The study focuses on long-term trends of daily rainfall in Israel as a function of their intensity in order to identify potential trends in rainfall extremity. The study period is the rainy season, October-May between 1950/1 and 2003/4. For the total rainfall, an increased trend is shown across Israel, especially for the central and southern regions, though non-significant. Daily rainfall intensity showed non-significant trends of increase in the heavy rainfall at the center and south and decrease at the north. The light to moderate rainfall trends increased in the north while they decreased at the center and south. Trends are significantly correlated with known teleconnection patterns, especially the East Atlantic- Western Russia and the North Sea-Caspian Sea patterns. Positive trends toward heavier rainfall are noted in Israel, which are significant in several specific locations. This finding has to be carefully followed since the region is a climatic border subjected to severe water shortage and is predicted to dry-up in most global warming scenarios.

Keywords:

Rainfall intensity, Long-term trend, Teleconnection.